Shea McCarthy in STAT News: What Reconciliation Means for Medicare Physician Pay

TRP Partner Shea McCarthy was recently quoted in a STAT News article covering  the key health care provisions contained within President Donald Trump’s “one big, beautiful bill.” Notably, the Energy and Commerce title includes a provision tying Medicare physician payment to inflation beginning in 2026 — a major win for physician advocates. “This is significant to the physician community,” McCarthy said. “They achieved a policy that was elusive but also was a big priority.” McCarthy also pointed out that this policy lays important groundwork for future advocacy efforts on Medicare physician pay now that the debate has shifted from whether pay will be tied to inflation, to how much it should be reflected in future updates.

The article in its entirety can be read below:

House GOP unveils plans to reshape Medicaid

The bill includes Medicaid work requirements and a crackdown on some ways that states boost funding

By John Wilkerson

May 12, 2025

WASHINGTON — House Republicans are proposing to add work requirements for some Medicaid recipients and to reduce federal Medicaid funding for states that cover undocumented immigrants.

The policies were included in plans for reducing Medicaid spending released late Sunday by the Energy and Commerce Committee. The committee is holding a markup Tuesday of its share of the budget reconciliation package that Republicans are using to pass President Trump’s tax cuts and other legislative priorities. It’s aiming to reduce government spending by $880 billion over a decade to help pay for those tax cuts.

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said Monday that the committee’s bill exceeds the $880 billion target, but hasn’t yet provided detailed estimates on specific provisions. The bill includes measures beyond health care, such as auctioning off wireless spectrum and reversing some Biden-era energy policies.

The CBO released preliminary estimates Sunday that the Republican plan could save more than $700 billion through 2034 from its health care provisions, but that at least 8.6 million people would go without health coverage as a result.

Medicaid is jointly funded by states and the federal government. Overall, Republicans said they would not reduce the amount that the federal government provides to states. But for states that provide coverage to undocumented immigrants, the bill would reduce the amount the federal government pays to cover people who gained coverage under the Affordable Care Act’s Medicaid expansion from 90% to 80%.

Undocumented immigrants are generally not eligible for Medicaid, but some states pay to provide coverage themselves. A committee staffer said the bill would cut funding to 12 states and Washington, D.C., if they continue to provide health insurance to those residents.

The Republican plan also includes work requirements for Medicaid eligibility. While a handful of states have implemented work requirements, this would be the first time that the federal government imposed a blanket work requirement in the health coverage program.

The policy would require that working-age adults without children and who are not disabled document that they work 80 hours a month to maintain coverage. They could also perform community service or enroll in educational programs.

“When so many Americans who are truly in need rely on Medicaid for life-saving services, Washington can’t afford to undermine the program further by subsidizing capable adults who choose not to work,” Rep. Brett Guthrie (R-Ky.), the chair of the committee, wrote in a Wall Street Journal op-ed Sunday.

He said that while “Democrats will use this as an opportunity to engage in fear-mongering and misrepresent our bill as an attack on Medicaid,” the bill “preserves and strengthens Medicaid for children, mothers, people with disabilities and the elderly — for whom the program was designed.”

Democrats, hospitals, and health advocates have been warning about the impact of Medicaid cuts on patients and providers.

“This is not trimming fat from around the edges, it’s cutting to the bone,” Rep. Frank Pallone, Jr. (D-N.J.), the top Democrat on the committee, said in a statement Sunday. “The overwhelming majority of the savings in this bill will come from taking health care away from millions of Americans. Nowhere in the bill are they cutting ‘waste, fraud, and abuse’ — they’re cutting people’s health care and using that money to give tax breaks to billionaires.”

Under the Republican proposal, states would have to check Medicaid enrollees’ eligibility twice a year, up from the current annual determinations.

The bill would also limit states’ use of common tactics, such as provider taxes, to increase funding for their Medicaid programs, by banning new or increased taxes. And it would remove a Biden administration policy around staffing requirements for long-term care facilities.

It’s not yet clear whether House conservatives will back the bill. The bill could be amended during Tuesday’s markup. Then it will proceed to the House floor, if the committee passes it. If it passes the House, the bill would still need to win approval in the Senate, too, where Republicans hold a 53-47 majority.

On Monday, Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) criticized the idea of cutting Medicaid in an essay for The New York Times. The article didn’t speak to the House bill specifically, but he warned against significant cuts to Medicaid.

“Republicans need to open their eyes: Our voters support social insurance programs,” Hawley wrote.

The bill also includes some changes to Medicare. For the first time, Medicare pay rates to doctors would increase based on inflation. Currently, doctors do not receive pay increases tied to inflation. The bill would increase pay by 75% of the rate of inflation in 2026, and pay rates would increase by 10% of inflation in subsequent years.

Doctors would like pay rates to keep up with inflation. However, Shea McCarthy, a partner at Thorn Run Partners who lobbies for specialist physicians, called the measure “the camel’s nose under the tent” because it gives doctors an opening to lobby for bigger inflationary increases each year.

“This is significant to the physician community,” McCarthy said. “They achieved a policy that was elusive but also was a big priority.”

The bill includes a list of reforms to drug middlemen. It would limit how pharmacy benefit managers can receive money from drugmakers and impose transparency requirements.

Thorn Run Partners Ranks Among Nation’s Top 10 Lobbying Firms

Thorn Run Partners (TRP) is proud to be recognized as the nation’s eight largest lobbying firm according to POLITICO Influence — the leading government affairs beat in Washington, D.C. Since its founding in 2010, TRP has consistently ranked among Washington’s fastest-growing lobbying firms according to analyses from POLITICO, The Hill, Bloomberg Government, and others.

“We are tremendously grateful to our clients for their continued confidence and trust, as this recognition would not be possible without these incredible partnerships,” said TRP co-founders Chris Lamond and Andy Rosenberg. “We look forward to deepening these relationships that fuel our success, and remain excited for what’s ahead in 2025 and beyond.”

Interested in learning more about TRP’s practice areas, products, or services? Let’s connect and discuss how we can help.

House Committees Resume Reconciliation Markups

Key authorizing committees are meeting today to resume markups of their respective portions of the GOP reconciliation bill. After the Armed Services, Education & Workforce, and Homeland Security Committees approved their pieces of reconciliation yesterday, the Financial Services, Transportation and Infrastructure (T&I), Judiciary, and Oversight Committees are on tap for today. Of note, T&I Republicans are poised to a make series of last-minute changes to their bill before today’s markup, including: (1) removing a $20 passenger vehicle fee; (2) boosting the annual electric vehicle fee up to $250 from the original $200; (3) paring back funding for the Air Traffic Control (ATC) system to $12.5 billion, down from the original $15 billion; and (4) reducing the topline number for Coast Guard funding from $23 billion to $21.2 billion.

  • Situational awareness. While Republicans are making significant progress toward enacting “one big, beautiful bill” containing President Trump’s legislative priorities, there are still several key debates ongoing with respect to the tax package, cuts to public benefit programs like Medicaid and SNAP, rolling back Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) green energy tax credits, state and local tax (SALT) deduction limits, and possibly more. Of note, leadership is expected to hold meetings today with rank-and-file lawmakers on Medicaid and SALT, respectively. Discussions are expected to intensify ahead of the Energy and Commerce (E&C) and Ways and Means markups, which are being targeted for next week. However, the timing for these markups could slip as these discussions continue. Meanwhile, additional clarity as to when Congress needs to address the debt ceiling is expected this week — a date that will act as “kind of a hard deadline” for getting the reconciliation bill on the president’s desk, according to Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD).

Clarity on Debt Ceiling Expected Next Week

Congress is expected to receive additional clarity from the Treasury Department as to when the federal government could run out of borrowing power — a key factor that could accelerate consideration of the GOP reconciliation bill. Specifically, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is reportedly slated to provide Congress with an update as to when the “X date” will fall. According to a projection from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) earlier this month, the federal government could run out of “extraordinary measures” to prevent a default by August or September, but this could get pushed earlier into the late spring or summer if tax revenue comes in below expectations. To the extent that Treasury’s estimate aligns closer to June or July, that will be a catalyst for congressional Republicans to mobilize on reconciliation to raise the debt ceiling as soon as possible. On the other hand, an August or September X date could also provide some GOP lawmakers with a justification to hold off while lingering debates over the total cost of the package, cuts to public benefit programs like Medicaid and SNAP, as well as key tax policy decisions are resolved.

TRP Ranks Among Nation’s Fastest-Growing Lobbying Firms

Results like this don’t happen overnight. According to a new analysis of disclosure filings from Bloomberg Government, Thorn Run Partners (TRP) grew its book of business by an impressive 467% over the past decade, placing us among the top-performing firms in Washington from 2014-2024.

“Also experiencing a dramatic jump from 2014 to 2024 was Thorn Run Partners, with a 467% gain in revenue reported on legislative disclosure forms — to $29.8 million, up from $5.25 million,” according to the report. “They’re among nine firms that more than doubled reported lobbying revenue since BGOV started analyzing the annual data.”

“As we celebrate this milestone, we remain deeply grateful to the clients, colleagues, and partners who have made our growth possible. said TRP co-founders Chris Lamond and Andy Rosenberg. “We’re proud of how far we’ve come — and energized for what’s ahead.”

Founded in 2010, TRP was built on the foundation of bipartisan expertise, client service, and strategic policy insight. That foundation continues to guide our growth as we help our clients navigate this constantly-evolving policy landscape.

Interested in learning more about TRP’s practice areas, products, or services? Let’s connect and discuss how we can help.

Congress Breaks After GOP Adopts Budget Resolution

Congress wrapped up legislative business last week after Republicans successfully unlocked the reconciliation process to pass “one big, beautiful bill” containing President Donald Trump’s legislative priorities on tax, border, energy, and more. Pursuant to the budget resolution, committees of instruction have until Friday, May 9 to produce their respective reconciliation bills, and Republicans are trying to move as quickly as possible through the upcoming May work period with the goal of passing the reconciliation bill before Memorial Day.

  • When lawmakers return to Washington at the end of the month, Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) said that committees will begin holding markups on their respective instructions that will be combined into a single reconciliation bill. According to news reports from over the weekend, the first markups in the House Judiciary, Homeland Security, and Armed Services Committees are being eyed for the week of April 28. Meanwhile, timing for markups in the Energy and Commerce (E&C) and Ways and Means Committees are not clear as of now given some of the ongoing discussions on tax policy and spending cuts. However, action on reconciliation could speed up significantly depending on when the Treasury Department’s “X date” — the date in which the federal government is projected to hit its borrowing limit — falls. While the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) recently suggested that the X date could be in August or September, late May or June remains possible if tax revenue falls below expectations, according to CBO’s forecast.
  • What to watch. Congress has until December 31, 2025 to extend the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), and Republicans are aiming to do so well ahead of the sunset deadline. We’ll be looking to see where the chips fall on key debates around TCJA permanence, the state and local tax (SALT) deduction, Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) clean energy tax credits, as well as numerous campaign promises from the President like no tax on Social Security benefits and tipped wages. Republicans also need to hash out key disagreements over the size and scope of cuts to public benefit programs like Medicaid and SNAP to ensure that the reconciliation package can pass with the requisite number of GOP votes in both chambers.

House Adopts Budget Resolution to Unlock GOP Reconciliation Effort

The House formally adopted [216-214] the updated GOP budget resolution to officially unlock the reconciliation process for President Trump’s legislative agenda on tax, border, energy, and more. Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) originally intended to hold a vote on the updated resolution during yesterday’s session, but more than a dozen GOP lawmakers expressed concerns about the lack of clarity around spending cuts within the reconciliation effort — the Senate’s instructions hover around $4 billion, much less than the $1.5 trillion in reductions eyed in the original House resolution. Nevertheless, Republicans on the House Freedom Caucus were assuaged by comments from Speaker Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) about their willingness to pursue spending cuts deemed adequate by the Conference and the Trump administration. These holdouts, including Reps. Ralph Norman (R-SC), Andy Harris (R-MD), Eric Burlison (R-MO), and more, ultimately supported the resolution during this morning’s vote.

  • What’s next? Pursuant to the budget resolution, committees of instruction have until Friday, May 9 to produce their respective reconciliation bills. It is expected that Republicans will try to move as quickly as possible through the upcoming May work period with the goal of passing the reconciliation bill before Memorial Day. However, intraparty discussions over the size and scope of spending cuts —  particularly as it pertains to public benefit programs like Medicaid and SNAP — as well as permanently extending the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), will need to be carefully navigated in order to maintain this timeline.
  • On the Senate side… The chamber is set to pass a resolution of disapproval to overturn a Biden-era regulation relating to “Energy Conservation Program: Energy Conservation Standards for Consumer Gas-fired Instantaneous Water Heaters.” A final confirmation vote on Mark Meador’s nomination to be a Federal Trade Commissioner is also slated for today.

The Latest on Where Things Stand in Government Funding

A pair of competing government funding strategies are emerging as Congress brushes up against next Friday’s deadline. Specifically, the “four corners” leaders of the House and Senate Appropriations Committees are reportedly on the cusp of an agreement on topline spending figures for fiscal year (FY) 2025, a critical precursor to the development appropriations bills that could theoretically ride in a series of “minibus” spending packages. However, this approach has thus far been rebuffed by House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA), who stated yesterday that he plans to move forward with a “clean” continuing resolution (CR) for the remainder of this fiscal year, per President Trump’s request. Text for the House GOP CR is expected over the weekend, according to House Appropriations Committee Chair Tom Cole (R-OK).

 

  • What’s next? Under the current timeline, Speaker Johnson is pushing to bring up the clean CR for a vote under “regular order” early next week, with the final vote likely to occur on Tuesday. Democratic support for this CR is expected to be limited, especially if a bipartisan agreement on topline funding numbers is announced prior to the vote. If the House manages to pass the clean CR, indications are that there could be enough Democrats willing to cross over to join Republicans in support to provide the measure with the 60 votes needed to break a filibuster in the Senate.
  • On the floor. The Senate will meet today to resume consideration of pending presidential nominees, including Lori Chavez-DeRemer to be Secretary of Labor. A procedural vote on former Rep. Chavez-DeRemer’s nomination is expected during today’s session, and she is expected to advance with cross-party support. Some Republicans, including Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY), could opt to vote no given her previous co-sponsorship of the PRO Act in the 118th Congress. Additionally, the Senate will hold a final up-or-down vote on Troy Edgar’s nomination to be Deputy Secretary of Homeland Security. Finally, senators will take a procedural vote on legislation to classify fentanyl into Schedule I of the Controlled Substances Act. Meanwhile, the House met this morning to clear a Senate-passed Congressional Review Act (CRA) resolution overturning a Biden era regulation relating to ‘‘Protection of Marine Archaeological Resources.’’ Lawmakers also voted to censure Rep. Al Green (D-TX) for his conduct during President Trump’s Joint Address to Congress.

Trump Delivers First Joint Address of Second Term

It was business as usual from President Donald Trump during last night’s record-length joint address to Congress as he sought to rally the “GOP trifecta” on his accomplishments over the course of his first couple of months back in office, as well as his legislative agenda. The president reiterated familiar promises and demands from the campaign trail, and defended the activities of the so-called “Department of Government Efficiency” or DOGE. Of note, he called on Congress to extend the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) permanently in addition to no tax on tips, overtime pay, Social Security benefits, and car loans for autos made in the U.S. However, President Trump did not delve into specifics on some of the “must have” tax policies like removing the cap on the state and local tax deduction, nor did he weigh in on potential cuts to public benefit programs such as Medicaid.

  • Situational awareness. While Joint Addresses like these can be void of specific policy details, the President’s budget for fiscal year (FY) 2026 will provide a more comprehensive overview of what the White House hopes to accomplish through the government funding process. However, the Trump administration is already well behind the statutorily required deadline, and rumors suggest that the president’s FY 2026 request might not be released until the middle of May.
  • Sad note. Sylvester Turner (D-TX), elected to replace the late Rep. Shelia Jackson Lee (D-TX) in Texas’s 18th congressional district, passed away late last night.
  • On the floor. The Senate will meet today for a vote on a Congressional Review Act (CRA) resolution to overturn a Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) rule relating to “Defining Larger Participants of a Market for General-Use Digital Consumer Payment Applications.” Additionally, senators will resume consideration of pending presidential nominees, starting with Todd Blanche to be Deputy Attorney General today. Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) also filed a procedural vote on Lori Chavez-DeRemer’s nomination to lead the Department of Labor. Meanwhile, the House will consider a pair of CRA resolutions pertaining to energy efficiency standards for appliances, as well as pollutant rules for rubber tires.

House GOP Braces for Tight Vote on Budget Resolution

The House will gavel in today for a pivotal vote on the House GOP budget resolution as leadership looks to move closer toward crafting and enacting a sweeping reconciliation package on tax, energy, border security, and more. House Republican leadership has been working overtime to shore up support for the budget resolution among lawmakers that have expressed concern about steep cuts to public benefits, emphasizing that the resolution is a “procedural step” and that cuts to Medicaid, SNAP, and Pell are not explicitly outlined within the resolution. While these whipping efforts have assuaged concerns among some of these lawmakers, including Reps. Nicole Malliotakis (R-NY) and Don Bacon (R-NE), reports from Capitol Hill indicate that Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) is still facing some defections from the likes of Reps. Victoria Spartz (R-IN) and Warren Davidson (R-OH). Of note, Rep. Davidson stated his intention to vote no on the resolution until leadership “communicate[s] a binding plan for discretionary spending ahead of March 14.”

  • Situational awareness. Assuming that the House can get its resolution adopted this week, negotiations between Speaker Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD) are expected to intensify with the goal of getting one uniform budget resolution through both chambers. If the House’s resolution stalls out, Senate Republicans will likely use this as an opportunity to try and boost their own budget resolution, which passed the upper chamber with relative ease last week. To that end, it will be worth monitoring to see if President Trump changes his mind and throws his weight behind the Senate’s two-bill approach — which splits off tax reform with border and energy-specific priorities — to try and achieve a quick legislative win in the early part of this year.

— THE LATEST ON GOVERNMENT FUNDING. Senate Appropriations Committee Chair Susan Collins (R-ME) cautioned yesterday that appropriators are not where they need to be with respect to an agreement on fiscal year (FY) 2025 government funding, and will need a stopgap to allow for additional time absent significant and quick progress. Congress is pushing up against the quickly-approaching March 14 government funding deadline, but the “four corners” appropriators have remained gridlocked over topline spending numbers —a critical precursor to the development of all 12 appropriations bills. As of now, it is not clear how long another continuing resolution (CR) would run through, but some have floated the possibility of a stopgap through the rest of this fiscal year. However, such a move would likely trigger the one percent across-the-board spending cut mandated by the Fiscal Responsibility Act (FRA) if all 12 appropriations bills are not passed by April 30, 2025. A shorter CR could give lawmakers time to pass a series of three or four-bill “minibus” packages to ensure that key sections of the federal government stay open, but it is not yet clear if there is bipartisan support to move forward at this time.

  • On the floor. In addition to the House budget resolution, the House will hold a final vote on legislation that would establish a research and development (R&D) agreement between the Small Business Administration (SBA) and Department of Energy (DOE) to ensure small businesses are included within activities covered within the agreement. Meanwhile, the Senate will resume consideration of pending Trump administration nominees, including Daniel Driscoll to be Secretary of the Army. The chamber will also take up a resolution of disapproval that seeks to overturn a Biden-era regulation at the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management relating to “Protection of Marine Archeological Resources.”