Our Take
There is a question on the top of mind in Washington, well, ok, two. But beyond the viral determination if you’re Yanny or Laurel, everyone wants to know what is going to happen in November. Will it be wave? Or a trickle? Will the Dems take control of the House? The Senate? And if so, what does it mean in terms of a governing philosophy and agenda. So, with the large caveat that we are still a long, long way from the election, and many things could change between now and then, we wanted to share our latest thinking on the topic.
Between last week’s primaries and the primary in Ohio the week before, it seems possible that the Midwest could serve as the dam to stem the Democratic tide in November. This is based partly on turnout and partly on results. If true, then it seems likely that any Democratic gains will come from coastal states. There are still enough seats in play in those states that the House could flip, but any Democratic majority would be narrow at best.